[FoxtrotGolfXray 5.0]

Originally Posted by russellw

Australia
NSW records 20,293 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.0254 (from 1.1309) while the actual line remains below the predictive trend line.
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VIC records 44,155 cases in the current period (a new record high) and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.2391 (from 1.2755) while the actual line remains above the predictive trend.

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Queensland (18,000) and SA (4,506) set new daily highs yesterday (9/1).


Finally, here is the predictive trend graph for both NSW / Victoria based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st.

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Interesting the trend in NSW compared to Vic. One is contracting somewhat whilst the other is skyrocketing. Whilst I appreciate that these are the official figures, it seems as though there is some 'distrust' about the numbers in Vic:

NSW figures 'clearly an underestimate', CHO says
NSW Chief Health Officer Kerry Chant is speaking in Sydney.

She says the NSW figures of more than 20,000 cases were from PCR tests and underestimate the true numbers.

"That clearly is an underestimate as people are moving and transitioning to RAT testing, the rapid antigen testing. And but just to let you know, that's certainly hopefully freeing up quite a lot of our capacity for PCR testing for those who need it," she says.

"If you can't access a RAT and need to be tested, please proceed to get a PCR test. One of the key issues is we just want people to be linked with care. If you fall into the categories where you are unvaccinated, you are pregnant, you have chronic underlying medical conditions, please don't delay getting a COVID diagnosis. It is critical that you are linked with care. And also please a reminder: Do not take symptoms such as breathlessness, particularly in young people when that is not your underlying usual condition, without taking that very seriously."