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#4051 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
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Location: 1975
Posts: 107,183
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131 new cases for Australia (mostly in Victoria) and 0 deaths so CMR drops to 1.193% and active cases rise to 1,293 (14.6%). The ACT recorded its first case (well 3 to be exact) in 30 days.
1 new case and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 1.431% and active cases rise to 23. The UK recorded 630 new cases and 126 deaths yesterday so the CMR rises to 15.512%. Just under 57k new cases in the USA yesterday and 993 deaths sees CMR down to 4.326% and active cases down to 51.9% but the raw numbers are rising. Note that the USA is actually minus one day due to time differences. Other notable points: Global new cases pass 12M with the last 1M added in just 5 days; Canada completes 3M, the UK 11M and the USA 39M tests; Africa records a new daily high of 17,460 cases; Asia records a new daily high of 55,331 cases; Venezuela (419), Uzbekistan (422), Venezuela (661), Indonesia (1,853), Philippines (2,486), Iraq (2,741), Argentina (3,604) and India (25,571) recorded new daily highs, those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#4052 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2019
Posts: 604
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Quote:
C'mon mate, all Labs matter! ![]() |
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#4053 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
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Location: 1975
Posts: 107,183
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Here's a quick graph to show the period of time it has taken for each 1 million cases to be added globally.
![]() It's hard to extrapolate of course because it's hard to know when countries will start to get a handle on it but at the current rate we would get to 20M cases globally by the latter part of August. That's still only a quarter of one percent of the global population but it means there will be something like another half million deaths to add to the more than half a million we already have.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#4054 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2014
Location: Catland
Posts: 3,738
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Saw the mayor of Mornington shire on the ABC this morning not too happy they are included in Melbourne metro area. Apparently they only have 1 case, have done well with it, and that highest proportion of over 65s are there. He observed that many cars were coming down to the Peninsula last night, could be people wanting to stay in their holiday houses. In the meantime, surfers/fishos could be daytripping from entire metro area down there for the next 6 weeks... he didn't seem too impressed.
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I6 + AWD |
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#4055 | |||
AWD Assassin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 8,170
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Quote:
We just need to buckle up and do the right thing now and crop this thing back to a manageable number again. Everyone is doing it tough for the second time and if we get it wrong again then they’ll excavate Victoria from the mainland and jack it off into the Tasman .....
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Old RIDE 2006 BFGT Gone but not forgotten New RIDE 2018 AMG Mercedes A45 Angry AWD assassin
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#4056 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
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Location: 1975
Posts: 107,183
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Some miscellaneous stats.
As of yesterday 80 of the 213 countries (39.9%) that have recorded at least one case, had worsening active case percentages. 30 of the 213 (14.1%) have not recorded a death despite having recorded cases. Conversely, 11 of the 213 (5.2%) have a CMR above 10%. 115 countries (54%) have recorded less than 2 deaths per 100k of population while 36 countries (16.9%) have recorded more than 10 per 100k, including 28 that are over 15/100k. 29 countries (13.6%) have conducted more than 10,000 tests per 100k of population (including Australia), and 12 of those (5.6%) have more than 20,000 tests per 100k. At the other end of the scale there are 63 countries that have conducted less than 500 tests / 100k, including 32 (15%) that are below 100 / 100k. 37 countries (17.4%) have detected less than 10 cases per 100k of population while 90 countries (42.3%) have more than 100 / 100k and 27 (12.7%) have more than 500 / 100k. Obviously testing volumes have a direct impact on CMR as it is generally fair to say that the higher the test volumes, the lower the CMR. That leads to an interesting point if we drill down on those countries that have done a lot of testing. There are 8 countries with > 30% of the population tested but with the exception of Bahrain and the UAE they all also have really small populations. Three of them have a CMR of 0; three are below 1% CMR including the two with larger population bases and the remaining two have a CMR of 2.4% (Luxembourg) and 3.7% (Monaco). By comparison, the global average is 4.54%. A further 4 countries have tested between 20-30% of their population, only one of which (Bermuda) has a really small population base but it also has the worst CMR of the four at 6.0% although Denmark at 4.7% is also high with the others below 2%. That leaves 15 countries that have tested between 10-20% of their population although most of those are below 15%. Here we (ironically) have 2 of the highest CMRs - the United Kingdom (15.5%) and Belgium (15.7%) with eight others below 2%; a further 3 below the global average and the Channel Islands (8.1%) and Spain (9.5%) falling in-between. I've graphed the data below even though it's somewhat ambiguous. Note that it's been amended to tests per 100M so the scale is readable. ![]() 24 of the 213 (11.3%) are currently clear of active cases.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#4057 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,874
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Heard an interesting discussion on ABC radio yesterday. The expert being interviewed stated that he believes we're actually only in the early stages of the virus not the latter as many think.
I'd be intrigued to know the total $ cost of the virus worldwide compared to that of 911 and the subsequent changes. |
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#4058 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2014
Location: A.C.T
Posts: 1,605
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Quote:
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2022 Honda HRV e:HEV in Premium crystal red. |
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#4059 | |||
Regular Member
Join Date: Jun 2019
Posts: 372
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Quote:
The war in Afghanistan, terrorist attacks, airport security and state surveillance; no, sorry but I can't see an end to that anywhere in my lifetime. |
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#4060 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2014
Location: A.C.T
Posts: 1,605
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Quote:
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2022 Honda HRV e:HEV in Premium crystal red. |
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#4061 | |||
AWD Assassin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 8,170
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Quote:
Those who think we’re out of the woods cant see the wood for the trees as they say... International holiday travel will take the biggest hit, it is and will remain the biggest risk not to mention the challenges with travel insurance if you do manage to fly.
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Old RIDE 2006 BFGT Gone but not forgotten New RIDE 2018 AMG Mercedes A45 Angry AWD assassin
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#4062 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 5,062
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#4063 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,183
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173 new cases for Australia and 0 deaths so CMR drops to 1.170% and active cases rise to 1,380 (15.2%). The ACT recorded another new case; WA had 3 and NSW recorded 13 with the balance in Victoria.
3 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 1.429% and active cases rise to 24. The UK recorded 642 new cases and 85 deaths yesterday so the CMR drops to 15.507%. Just under 57k new cases in the USA yesterday and 993 deaths sees CMR down to 4.326% and active cases down to 51.9% but the raw numbers are rising. Note that the USA is actually minus one day due to time differences. Other notable points: Global cases set a new daily record of 207,796; The USA drops below 25% of deaths but remains above 25% of cases; Iran passes 250k cases; South America passes 100k deaths; Germany completes 6M,Russia 22Mand the USA 40M tests; Africa records a new daily high of 18,347 cases;Asia records a new daily high of 55,505 cases; Lebanon (65), Libya (86), Venezuela (419), Kenya (447), Uzbekistan (472), Venezuela (661), Bolivia (1,439), Kazakhstan (1,962), Indonesia (2,657), Argentina (3,663), Colombia (5,335), Mexico (6,995), South Africa (13,674), India (25,803) and the USA (61,848) recorded new daily highs, those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#4064 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,912
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Excellent appointments in my view. Surely this puts to bed the "lack of independence" concerns? Ex PM of a 5 eyes nation.
https://www.who.int/news-room/detail...onse-announced I wonder what would happen if the review backs up initial WHO's view on China's response. Also interesting that at around the same time of this announcement, the US have formally notified the WHO to withdraw permanently. Hmmmmmmm Imagine how much better off we would ALL be if everyone had pulled together to respond. |
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#4065 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2014
Location: A.C.T
Posts: 1,605
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Quote:
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2022 Honda HRV e:HEV in Premium crystal red. |
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#4066 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 895
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I just got back from hunting & gathering at my local supermarket, out of the hundred people I saw there was only one wearing a mask... Me.
Pretty disappointing really, it's not just about catching covid it's also about setting an example. |
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#4067 | |||
AWD Assassin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 8,170
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Quote:
DNA virus strains are less likely to mutate and are easier to treat , manage and contain / eradicate with a single strain vaccine. ( HPV , herpes etc... ) Any vaccine we develop for COVID will always need to be modified. In the background we still have SARS and MERS coronavirus active so going forward we may need some sort of Corona trivalent vaccine ?? Any way you look at it, we’ll need to have constant vigilance now and onwards. Genie is out of the bottle now.
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Old RIDE 2006 BFGT Gone but not forgotten New RIDE 2018 AMG Mercedes A45 Angry AWD assassin
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#4068 | |||
Thailand Specials
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Centrefold Lounge
Posts: 49,365
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Quote:
Haven't seen any police in the area at all on my 120km daily commute either. |
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#4069 | |||
Former BTIKD
![]() Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Sunny Downtown Wagga Wagga. NSW.
Posts: 53,197
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Quote:
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Dying at your job is natures way of saying that you're in the wrong line of work.
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#4070 | ||
Donating Member
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Location: Heading thru Hell (Corner)
Posts: 8,288
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Looks like NSW Air Pol are conducting a border control run along the remote eastern NSW/Vic border area
https://www.flightradar24.com/POL27/24e51dd1
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Labels are for jars, not for people. Life is a journey, not a destination. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Daily: 2013 FGII EcoLPi in Winter White Play: 2015 FG X XR8 in Emperor Show' N Shine thread Gone, but not forgotten: 2015 SZII petrol Titanium Territory in Emperor |
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#4071 | |||
Chairman & Administrator
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Location: 1975
Posts: 107,183
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Quote:
At least the entire pharmacy staff were masked up as, surprisingly, was the local noodle joint staff.
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#4072 | ||
Thailand Specials
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Centrefold Lounge
Posts: 49,365
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#4073 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,912
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News just out....a US marine in NT has tested positive..........
![]() ![]() Lets see what coverage this gets. |
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#4074 | ||
Donating Member
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Location: Heading thru Hell (Corner)
Posts: 8,288
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It is possible that the marine is stationed in the NT and has not been home to the US for quite some time, hence, did not bring it into the country with them.
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Labels are for jars, not for people. Life is a journey, not a destination. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Daily: 2013 FGII EcoLPi in Winter White Play: 2015 FG X XR8 in Emperor Show' N Shine thread Gone, but not forgotten: 2015 SZII petrol Titanium Territory in Emperor |
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#4075 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,912
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Quote:
ABC is reporting that he is a 21 year old and arrived recently as part of the annual rotation training drills. They said the new comers were tested prior to leaving, obviously results were negative, so they are not sure how he caught it after arriving. MMmmmmmm They need to ring fence the marines to protect the indigenous community. It has been reported that the marines have had "little to no" outside contact, whatever that means. It only takes a "little" to spread. |
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#4076 | ||
Guest
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Posts: 1,892
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#4077 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 5,062
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Virus = droplet. Fart = gas (if you're farting droplets, probably best to stay at home on the can). More than a little size difference...
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#4078 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2019
Posts: 604
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#4079 | ||
Thailand Specials
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Centrefold Lounge
Posts: 49,365
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#4080 | |||
Former BTIKD
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Location: Sunny Downtown Wagga Wagga. NSW.
Posts: 53,197
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Quote:
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Dying at your job is natures way of saying that you're in the wrong line of work.
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