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#14341 | |||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,974
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Quote:
(Typical blogger, she has to put herself in nearly every photo. ![]() I really do want to put time into shoring up my own assets, though. It’s killing me that the best working seasons have been excluded. |
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#14342 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,698
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Quote:
If you are going to the Kimberley it is not as bad as some would have you believe, if you go within the tourist season there are plenty of vehicles around. Broome is OK, but 3 days max We left our A'Van at a farm stay at Parry Creek and tented it through the Kimberley, we didn't go up to Kalumburu, a bit sorry we didn't, we listened to 'campers whispers' we shouldn't have. The trip took 5 days and it was magnificent, we just had a tent, clothes, food water, bedding, etc the back of the PK Ranger. Sure the road is rough in parts but nothing that required up to go into 4WD, it wasn't wet. You need to do it Bells Gorge: ![]() Imiji roadhouse - cheapest fuel: ![]() Windjana camping: ![]() Windjana Gorge: ![]()
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I reserve the right to arm bears
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#14345 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: perth
Posts: 4,355
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I have travelled through the nor~west a fair bit over the years by car and truck (even these tripples Billy talks of) and still consider my self having only minorly checked out it
tho I always full recommend people do come see it , I'd suggest no matter how much you don't mind the humidity don't go dur up there dur in wet the wet season and when sight seeing take more water/food/fuel than you think you need (and I don't mean heaps) cause you may get side tracked or run in to a problem that sees you in need andwith out
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yes still (as money n time permit) doing the rebuilding the zh fairlane with a clevo 400m 4v heads injected whipple blown with aode 4 speed trans to a 9" ....... we'll get there eventually just remember don't be afraid to try something new. Remember, amateurs built the Ark...Professionals built the Titanic! I have taken up meditation... at least it's better than sitting around doing nothing !! |
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#14346 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,698
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and take a fat wallet to pay for your caravan park site. $73 per night - min 3 nights and 560 sites at Cable Beach Caravan park - not a bad little earner, booked solid for 3 months and lap in and out either end - do the sums
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I reserve the right to arm bears
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#14348 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: perth
Posts: 4,355
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Quote:
and last I heard the road to Cape laveake (how ever is spelled) is now bitumen and probably good places to stay/see now
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yes still (as money n time permit) doing the rebuilding the zh fairlane with a clevo 400m 4v heads injected whipple blown with aode 4 speed trans to a 9" ....... we'll get there eventually just remember don't be afraid to try something new. Remember, amateurs built the Ark...Professionals built the Titanic! I have taken up meditation... at least it's better than sitting around doing nothing !! |
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#14349 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,698
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Quote:
We were in an A'Van Cruiseliner, no ensuite in the van, but we had an external shower, I set it up instead of using their old and not very clean facilities
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I reserve the right to arm bears
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#14350 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,698
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Anyway, back on topic - kinda
Won't it be great to get back to some sort of normality - but it might a bit of the 'have's' and have not's' - vaccinations I mean - the vaccinated go places the un-vaccinated can't - it will be interesting for sure
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I reserve the right to arm bears
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#14351 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,974
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NSW dipping below Russell’s trend line again, although I note the number of Covid tests per week is apparently diminishing while related vaccination rates stay strong.
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#14352 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,049
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT August 31st 2021.
Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting. 1,232 new cases for Australia and 3 deaths so the CMR is 1.868%. NSW records the 100th death this outbreak. 50 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 0.728%. The UK had a higher 31,951 cases yesterday and higher 50 deaths for a CMR of 1.952%. A lower 147,152 new cases in the USA yesterday and higher 1,428 deaths sees CMR at 1.644%. Other notable points: Global cases pass 218M, the last 1M in 2 days; North America passes 48M cases; Asia passes 70M cases; The USA passes 40M cases; Nicaragua (568); and Norway (1,785) - the previous high on 20/3/21; ... recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. Syria moves above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period while no countries drop below.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
Last edited by russellw; 01-09-2021 at 01:32 PM. |
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#14353 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,049
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With lower case numbers in the current reporting period (1,118), the NSW 'actual' line continues to move below the predictive trend line but not yet by enough to stop that line trending higher. The 10-day average growth rate drops slightly to 1.038 and the YTD adjusted CMR for NSW finally dips below 1% to 0.98% - note that the 'adjusted' CMR is deaths divided by total cases less cases in the last 14 days.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14354 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,698
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Victoria 12 new cases and 2 deaths, although I think the deaths were reported late yesterday, a woman in her 40's and a woman in her 60's (they sound familiar to what I heard yesterday)
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I reserve the right to arm bears
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#14355 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,049
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I've been trying to get my head around what the hospitalisation / ICU rates are in this country but have only really had NSW data this year. It's not an easy thing to even guesstimate as the duration of a stay can be anything from a few days to several weeks and the only raw data we get is point-in-time data.
It's a little easier in Australia as we publish the 'mean' duration of the stays in hospital which is 7.5 days for hospitalised cases and 10 days for ICU ones - the latter shortened by the numbers that don't survive. Having thought about it for awhile, I've decided that for comparative purposes it doesn't matter what method I use to calculate that rate so I'm going to use the previous 14 days of case data given that they are the more likely source of hospitalised cases. You could argue for a longer period, or for the 14 days before the current week or any other variation but as I said, mathematically it just requires consistency in the approach. Now that Vic has a reasonable number of cases in the current outbreak, I can compare that data with the NSW data to see if there is any conclusion that can be drawn. NSW has had 13,241 cases in the last 14 days with 917 in hospital and 150 in ICU which is 6.9% of cases hospitalised and 1.1% in ICU. Victoria has had 869 cases in the last 14 days with 37 in hospital and 21 in ICU which is 3.7% of cases hospitalised and 2.1% in ICU. It's a bit of a small sample in Victoria for any meaningful conclusions but the most obvious difference is that 57% of Victorian hospitalised cases are in ICU whereas it's only 16% in NSW and the hospitalisation percentage for Victoria is just over half that of NSW. We'll probably know more in a few weeks as the numbers become clearer.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
Last edited by russellw; 01-09-2021 at 02:07 PM. |
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#14356 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,900
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Target of 70% by 23rd Sept for Vic, by which time we can travel from 5km to.....wait for it......10km.....GTFO!!
If that is it, and these are the rules which would be similarily applied for states with Covid, its no wonder WA and QLD wants to keep their borders closed.
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#14357 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 4,947
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#14358 | |||
Donating Member
![]() Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Heading thru Hell (Corner)
Posts: 8,219
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Quote:
It is certainly interesting that the narrative coming from Dan Andrews today is that we can continue to expect numbers to climb, but at the same time, we are prepared to relax the restrictions (a little) for the regional areas. I wonder if there's just a little bit of resignation starting to creep in?
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Labels are for jars, not for people. Life is a journey, not a destination. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Daily: 2013 FGII EcoLPi in Winter White Play: 2015 FG X XR8 in Emperor Show' N Shine thread Gone, but not forgotten: 2015 SZII petrol Titanium Territory in Emperor |
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#14359 | |||
Guest
Join Date: Aug 2018
Posts: 1,892
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Quote:
A cynical would be forgiven for Thinking that Gladys is cherry picking Data... |
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#14361 | |||
N/A all the way
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 3,459
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Quote:
Would be excellent foresight if they are doing that. If not, there is definitely something fishy with those numbers!
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BA GT 5.88 litres of Modular Boss Powered Muscle 300++ RWKW N/A on 98 octane on any dyno, happy or sad, on any day, with any operator you choose - 12.39@115.5 full weight |
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#14362 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,974
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I would hope NSW offer a similar concession, as we’ll hit 70% this weekend or earlier. My mate and his family are suffering intense cabin fever, there would be so many in such situations.
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#14363 | |||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,049
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Quote:
![]() The 10-day average growth rate is higher than NSW at 1.111, up from the 1.061 yesterday. The comparative growth rate data chart probably shows it better although bear in mind it's a polynomial so doesn't reflect changes quickly. ![]()
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14364 | ||
Cabover nut
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Onsite Eastcoast
Posts: 10,841
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Dan hinting regional Victoria to ease some restrictions next week.
Doesn't include Shepparton, sorry Trevor.
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heritagestonemason.com/Fordlouisvillerestoration In order that the labour of centuries past may not be in vain during the centuries to come...... D. Diderot 1752
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#14365 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 7,698
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Quote:
On the bright side for the regional home-schooling parents, he did say definitely no return to school for metro, but not necessarily for regional - he will say more next week
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#14366 | ||||
Peter Car
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: geelong
Posts: 23,145
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Quote:
Do people want to argue with facts now? Quote:
Please people, if you are going to get in a huff about what people are posting, at least have the capacity to read the posts properly before you mouth off and make yourself look silly. |
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#14368 | ||
Peter Car
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: geelong
Posts: 23,145
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#14369 | |||
N/A all the way
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 3,459
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Quote:
https://www.fordforums.com.au/showpo...ostcount=14309 I read hackneys post as 90% effective at stopping you from going to hospital. Not 100%. Probably not worded perfectly, but I think we are both reading into it from our own viewpoint. I think we all need to read things more carefully.
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BA GT 5.88 litres of Modular Boss Powered Muscle 300++ RWKW N/A on 98 octane on any dyno, happy or sad, on any day, with any operator you choose - 12.39@115.5 full weight |
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#14370 | ||
T3/Sprint8
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Australia
Posts: 16,409
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/a...-CDC-says.html
Key points Effectiveness of COVID vaccines in keeping patients out of hospitals falls to as low as 75% against Delta variant: People over 75 are highest risk Effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccines in keeping recipients out of the hospital drops as low as 75% over time, the CDC reports Panel met this week to advise the CDC on its decision whether to approve COVID-19 vaccine booster in the U.S. White House officials announced earlier this month that they plan to roll out boosters starting September 20 Israel has already begun the rollout of booster shots, and has found that the shots are effective
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Tickfords T3/TS50 '02 Sprint8 manual Sept 24 '16 Daily Macan GTS "Don't believe everything you read on the internet. Abraham Lincoln" |
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