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#14522 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,900
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NZ 40 odd yesterday, 20 today.....
Have a feeling they might just prove us wrong about delta schmelta. Mind you, their lock down is HARD. Not even takeaways allowed.
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#14523 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 4,947
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Thanks for all the info BENT. Very interesting.
My wife and i are booked for both pfizer jabs. The dates we were allowed to book are 3 weeks apart. I accepted this but now wondering if that's too close together, should it not be 12week gap? Or is that AZ only? |
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#14524 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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Just went to local shopping centre, not big by any means but Woolies, chemist, bakery, barber shop, newsagent a few clothing and food and coffee shops, enough parking foe a good 1000 cars, so carport almost full?
Security mob directing traffic, this is 9 am, get a spot, go to chemist, an external door, then through internal door to shops. A big shop at rear is the size of a basketball court, been closed for yonks, so I head to Woolies and there are about 200 people going into this unused shop, 3 big tables set up outside with 3 people at each table, and a big banner above shop, " Free Covid Testing and Vaccination "...... Local letterbox drop would of been nice! Cheers Billy ![]() Last edited by slowsnake; 04-09-2021 at 01:51 PM. Reason: Fix auto spell |
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#14525 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: nz
Posts: 1,846
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We were at 80 two or three days ago its steadily coming down so looking good only worrying part was testing numbers seem to be down ?....so who knows how accurate it is ?
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Fgx xr8 winter white manual, gone but not forgotten 22 mitsubishi outlander XLS PHEV Au11 fairmont Ghia ported gt40p heads ,comp springs and locks Xe 264 cam,custom intake,pacemaker tri y headers 524nm torque 19 Triton GSXR manual |
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#14526 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,049
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The recommended gap for Pfizer ranges from 3 (minimum) to 6 (preferred) but there is no data I can find that indicates what the drop off in efficacy is from having it early but there will be one of course.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14527 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 589
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So remind me - how’s the Christmas miracle supposed to go ?
Eighty percent have been jabbed, then it’s all systems go - is that the plan ? So covid will be circulating fairly freely and the hospitals and the ICUs will fill up but only to some allegedly manageable level. Zat how it works ? Jobs for all and acceptable death rates. Maybe a fistful of cash too somehow. |
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#14528 | |||
Moderator
![]() Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 7,940
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Quote:
With Australians happy going about their life as normal (while living with Delta), ScoMo can then call the 2022 election in March or May with voters in a better state of mind ![]() |
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#14529 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 4,947
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Quote:
Weve been chatting at home and will talk with staff when we are there for our 1st jab. Might be worthwhile extending that 2nd one out a bit further, but they may have appointment limitations we havent considered. A quick chat should sort us out. |
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#14530 | ||||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,900
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Quote:
This is the next best thing I could find. Note this indicates going past 6 weeks gives even better antibodies, not sure how that translates to efficacy against severe symptoms, hospitalisations and deaths. https://www.bmj.com/content/374/bmj.n1875 "The preprint, released on 23 July, looked at immune responses in 503 healthcare workers who had received the Pfizer vaccine. It found that, after the second vaccine dose, neutralising antibody concentrations were higher after an interval of 6-14 weeks than after the 3-4 week regimen that was initially recommended. When looking at the delta variant, researchers also noted that, though there were good levels of antibodies after the shorter dosing interval, levels were 2.3-fold higher with the longer dosing interval." Quote:
BTW, does your media go to town on the government for these lock downs? Or are they generally supportive?
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#14531 | |||
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Perth Australia
Posts: 3,618
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Quote:
![]() " And the band played believe me if you like " Cheers Billy ![]() |
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#14532 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: nz
Posts: 1,846
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Quote:
This lockdowns been a challenge we haven't had that many and they've been relatively short but they're pretty severe ....you can feel everyone's getting a bit over it .....if we were to have another one soon I think people will throw the toys out of the cot , especially Auckland as they've taken the brunt of it
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Fgx xr8 winter white manual, gone but not forgotten 22 mitsubishi outlander XLS PHEV Au11 fairmont Ghia ported gt40p heads ,comp springs and locks Xe 264 cam,custom intake,pacemaker tri y headers 524nm torque 19 Triton GSXR manual |
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#14533 | |||
BLUE OVAL INC.
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 8,645
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Quote:
With regard to bookings, it seems very fluid depending on where around the country you are and the feels at the time, i think they're making it up as they go tbh. My second booking was 3 weeks, my Wife's was 3 weeks too. What's going to be interesting for my situation is that my second jab is already booked for 3 weeks from yesterday. Because i was unable to get the jab yesterday they made me an honorary member of the covid vax club and elevated me to VIP status meaning i can walk in without a booking, no really, im a CVIP, but here's the kicker, its only valid for the first booking, at this stage i cant take advantage of that until after Thursday at 1pm as that's when i'll speak with my Cardiologist. Problem is, next Thursday to my 2nd booking appointment wont be 3 weeks so again we see a situation where they haven't considered it right through so i'll need to address that with them if it happens. had some worse news today, my eldest Daughter was contacted by SA Health today, she attended a tier 1 site during the week and now has 14 days iso. She only started a new job 7 weeks ago, ironically an essential service, and now wont be able to work and hasn't accrued enough leave to cover it, she is looking into her options. She found out an hour after i caught up with her today so i dont know where that leaves me, i started a new job Monday. How's my luck though, yesterday i get refused my covid jab because the side effects might cause me harm and 24hrs later im in the company of someone flagged as having been to a tier 1 site. You couldnt script this ****. Last edited by BENT_8; 04-09-2021 at 07:54 PM. |
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#14534 | |||
Regular Member
Join Date: Sep 2018
Posts: 425
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Quote:
Personally, I think if Maccas is still open, it's not a real lockdown ![]() Testing numbers have been trending down, but we also had massive numbers for the first 10 days or so of lockdown. It's all balancing out. Auckland straight up running out of people to test though :p |
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#14535 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 18,985
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"The public should feel very reassured that we have an extremely confidential team of contact tracers."
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-09-...iver/100434312 *giggles* |
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#14536 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,974
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The nomads sent me a screenshot of Italian stats, August 30th. 7 day average, ~6500 cases and 50 Covid deaths per day. Politicians aren’t screaming for a lockdown, people aren’t hiding behind their furniture.
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#14537 | |||
Regular Member
Join Date: Sep 2018
Posts: 425
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Quote:
![]() https://nationalpost.com/news/world/...erwhelmed-town |
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#14538 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,974
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The guys had a theory for that, they reckoned pre-pandemic accessible (proactive, even) healthcare for a large elderly cohort meant that in the early days of Covid a large number of quite old people with serious comorbidities were knocked down.
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#14539 | |||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,049
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Quote:
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14540 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,900
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Not good....
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/...n-reported#mtr "On Thursday, the state reported almost 1000 people with Covid-19 were in hospital and 160 of those were receiving the most complex form of healthcare in intensive care units. But that figure leaves out almost 1700 people who are receiving hospital-grade care for coronavirus in their own homes in NSW. Most of those are being monitored by staff from the swamped Westmead Hospital in the state’s Western Sydney Local Health District. Under these arrangements, patients who would otherwise be on the hospital ward are instead given oxygen and other support at home with scheduled visits from hospital staff."
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rides (past and present) Current: 2004 Ford Falcon 5.4L 3v Barra 220, Manual Past: Mitsubishi Sigma (m), Toyota Seca (m), Toyota Seca SX (m), Toyota Vienta V6 (m), Toyota Soarer 4L v8 (a), BA XR8 ute (m), T3 TE50 (m), BMW Z4 (m) AFF motto - If contrary views trigger, please use ignore button. ![]() |
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#14541 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,049
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Data valid as at 00:00 GMT September 4th 2021.
Note: As not all Australian States report at the same time, the data below is based on the previous full day reporting. 1,762 new cases for Australia and 4 deaths so the CMR is 1.728%. That's another record daily case high. 19 new cases and 1 death for NZ so CMR is 0.720%. The UK had a lower 36,642 cases yesterday and lower 120 deaths for a CMR of 1.918%. A lower 185,593 new cases in the USA yesterday and higher 1,859 deaths sees CMR at 1.634%. Other notable points: (weekend reporting) Global cases pass 221M, the last 1M in 1 day; Asia passes 71M cases; Suriname (415); and Australia (1,762) ... recorded new highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day. Nigeria moves above the 90th percentile for the 10 day period while Kenya drops below.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14542 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,049
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NSW/VIC
NSW records 1,487 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate drops to 1.0429 (from 1.0582) while the actual line is now slightly below the predictive trend line. ![]() VIC records 183 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate decreases to 1.1181 (from 1.1995) while the actual line is about level with the predictive trend line. ![]()
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14543 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,974
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I’m trying unsuccessfully to find a breakdown of vaccinations by state, by day, first and second doses.
There are running totals for both first and second doses, and daily gross totals. What I’m wondering about is how the comparative rates are tracking, is NSW’s first dose rate tapering off as second doses rise? Gut feeling suggests it is, and that even 80% first dose is not going to be the comparative cakewalk 70% was. |
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#14544 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,049
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There continues to be a disparity between hospitalisations in Victoria and NSW and how they are treated.
Victoria currently has 89 in hospital and NSW 1,030 both of which are 6.4% of the 14-day case load. However, Victoria has 24 of those in ICU (27%) while NSW has a much lower percentage with 175 in ICU (17%) and those numbers represent 1.7% (Vic) and 1.1% (NSW) of the 14-day case load.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14545 | |||
Moderator
![]() Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 7,940
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Quote:
Attached are the up to date figures. First spreadsheet is for one dose per state per day (From 21/2/21) Second is for two doses per state per day (From 18/3/21) |
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#14546 | |||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,049
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Quote:
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#14547 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,974
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Thanks - I feel it’s going to be an interesting set of lines to watch as our patience with lockdown wears thinner. Could be our salvation, or our torture!
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#14548 | |||
Donating Member
![]() Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Heading thru Hell (Corner)
Posts: 8,219
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Quote:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-...llout/13197518
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Labels are for jars, not for people. Life is a journey, not a destination. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Daily: 2013 FGII EcoLPi in Winter White Play: 2015 FG X XR8 in Emperor Show' N Shine thread Gone, but not forgotten: 2015 SZII petrol Titanium Territory in Emperor |
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#14549 | ||
DIY Tragic
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: Sydney, more than not. I hate it.
Posts: 21,974
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Cheers, it’s an interesting set of numbers to follow.
A rough calculation sees NSW top 80%x1 within seven days, but I’m not banking on it. If we do, I think the state government owes us a biscuit. |
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#14550 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: perth
Posts: 4,355
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Quote:
32320 covid cases covid deaths 177 yep i think Glad Bags owes you something for letting it run 1090 covid cases in WA covid deaths 9 both as of 4th Sep and even tho we didnt get the bulk of the vaccine here they are getting the injection rate up with whats available and there are waiting lists , but i can understand with our lack of in house current restrictions why we dont want to open up to let it in from NSW no matter how much they think they are entitled to outer state travel with what ever they have achieved i finally (after 4 attempts) had my first vaccine injection and am to get my second pfizer on the 18th
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yes still (as money n time permit) doing the rebuilding the zh fairlane with a clevo 400m 4v heads injected whipple blown with aode 4 speed trans to a 9" ....... we'll get there eventually just remember don't be afraid to try something new. Remember, amateurs built the Ark...Professionals built the Titanic! I have taken up meditation... at least it's better than sitting around doing nothing !! |
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