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Old 29-04-2024, 09:32 PM   #1
Syndrome
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Talking Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a6...osses-q1-2024/

EVs are the answer to the question nobody asked.
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Old 30-04-2024, 05:28 AM   #2
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

Its $15K more expensive than the market leader and its crap - Stevie Wonder could see this happening for the Mach E
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Old 30-04-2024, 05:41 AM   #3
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

For now I consider EV crap period but to offer above the leader as mentioned is sheer stupidity coming to market.


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Old 30-04-2024, 06:28 AM   #4
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

To offer some counter balance how long did it take Tesla to turn in a profit from its first days of building passenger car EV's...and that was during a period of virtually no competition, particularly from the Chinese ...?

Edit, found my answer...18 years to make a profit and even today Tesla earns billions from other auto makers through emissions credits.

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/27/b...-earnings.html
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Old 30-04-2024, 07:04 AM   #5
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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Originally Posted by Dr Smith View Post
To offer some counter balance how long did it take Tesla to turn in a profit from its first days of building passenger car EV's...and that was during a period of virtually no competition, particularly from the Chinese ...?

Edit, found my answer...18 years to make a profit and even today Tesla earns billions from other auto makers through emissions credits.

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/27/b...-earnings.html
Interesting bloke Elon. Great TV program about Twitter last night.

I find it funny, the guy who is anti-Vax and anti-Woke Liberal sells most of his cars to the very people he hates.

I couldn't imagine anyone wanting to start a car company let alone a totally new technology car company.

FORD's going to do it tough.
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Old 30-04-2024, 09:11 AM   #6
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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Originally Posted by roKWiz View Post
Interesting bloke Elon. Great TV program about Twitter last night.

I find it funny, the guy who is anti-Vax and anti-Woke Liberal sells most of his cars to the very people he hates.
I find it funny that a bloke who supposedly is unflustered by criticism
is so triggered as to respond to anything negative said about him.
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Old 30-04-2024, 09:51 AM   #7
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

Ford are always going to struggle as they have to develop multiple platforms.

They should stick to ICE and hybrid for the foreseeable future. Then Chapter 11 the business and then emerge with Ford Blue or similar. Easiest way to manage it.

Having their feet in two camps isn't allowing for the efficiency of production they need to be profitable.
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Old 30-04-2024, 10:22 AM   #8
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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I find it funny that a bloke who supposedly is unflustered by criticism
is so triggered as to respond to anything negative said about him.
I could be wrong but from what I’ve seen I get the impression he does it with no ****s given to garner a reaction more than firing off unhinged comebacks. What are they gonna do, cancel him…
He was on the Joe Rogan podcast a few months back. A bit of a weirdo.
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Old 30-04-2024, 11:48 AM   #9
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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I could be wrong but from what I’ve seen I get the impression he does it with no ****s given to garner a reaction more than firing off unhinged comebacks. What are they gonna do, cancel him…
He was on the Joe Rogan podcast a few months back. A bit of a weirdo.
I think you've got to be a bit unorthodox to be on that level, normal people aren't usually that successful
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Old 30-04-2024, 12:14 PM   #10
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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I think you've got to be a bit unorthodox to be on that level, normal people aren't usually that successful
Yeah, and a still hasn’t stopped home leaving a few single mothers in his wake.
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Old 30-04-2024, 01:34 PM   #11
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

Build it and they will come, maybe....

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Old 30-04-2024, 04:04 PM   #12
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

A lot of Model E division “losses” are actual costs for those new battery and BEV production plants.
Yes, it’s true that Ford was counting on much higher sales of Lightning and Mach E but buyers are gone.

This is a case of the CEO Jim Farley pushing so hard on BEV that Ford has really snookered itself on vehicle programs.
It’s like every six months, they get a new better plan, only it’s not and heck, they must be flushing a ton of cash on
Electric vehicles they know are uncompetitive even before completion of development.
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Old 30-04-2024, 05:30 PM   #13
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

They’re effectively starting a new company within an existing one. It’s going to lose money for a while. I really don’t see the headline.
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Old 30-04-2024, 06:17 PM   #14
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

How many EV models have Ford released so far?

EDIT. I found 5:

Mustang Mach-E
F-150 Lightning
E-Transit
All electric Explorer
All electric Tourneo
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Last edited by Syndrome; 30-04-2024 at 06:28 PM.
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Old 30-04-2024, 08:07 PM   #15
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

I think that as much as people might like the idea of an electric car something different also appeals to them (Tesla, BYD, other). Something specifically EV where that company is ‘all in’ on it.
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Old 30-04-2024, 09:25 PM   #16
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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Originally Posted by roKWiz View Post
Build it and they will come, maybe....

So much facepalm when he mentions Ford trucks piling up and the only thing Toyota can't sell is trucks - and people are buying sedans while Ford has none!

Falcon would be saving them right now
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Old 01-05-2024, 06:01 AM   #17
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

Not just sedans.
Farley last year or year before.
Quote-we are not playing in the two row suv market any more.
Translates to Escape not being replaced.

Memo to Ford-not everybody wants to buy Utes-Trucks.
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Old 01-05-2024, 07:25 AM   #18
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

Funny how back in the day Aussies were convinced by trend, peer, govco, we didn't need a local sedans and wagons, yet companies like Audi, BMW, Merc seem to sell these in volume.

Sad how FORD really has lost the plot.

Not everyone wants a SUV.

btw I like the new Audi wagon ad on telly.
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Old 01-05-2024, 12:23 PM   #19
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

I think one has to be really careful about using a cherry picked financial figure, and then jumping to a conclusion. Especially, cherry picked financials provided second hand. There are plenty of examples of financial reports that look great on paper (look no further than Qantas past annual reports) and make Wall Street analysts happy, but deeper down are pointing to long term structural problems.

The actual presentation is here.

https://s201.q4cdn.com/693218008/fil...-NO-SECRET.pdf

So, for sure, the Ford Blue division (classic ICE production) continued to make a profit while Model e division (electric) has continued to make a loss (page 21). However, it is interesting how much Ford Blue has slid backwards the last 12 months (more than Model e), reflecting the much tougher new car market in the USA with its excess inventories.

The other thing to keep in mind is that the USA tax treatment for business investment losses is much more generous in Australia. In addition, we don't have any insight into how Ford is carrying its losses from the EV division on its books, and whether Ford is in the process of offloading those losses right now or is holding onto some for a future date. We also have no insight into what expenditure Ford has loaded onto the EV division. (I have only a very superficial understanding of company tax in the US, but I think there are circumstances where a loss can be backdated three years and carried forward for five years.)

My read of it is that I think Ford is in a better position now than they were a few years back. The sunk costs for EV production will be written off. And while billions sounds like a lot of money, these guys think long term and strategically. Ford has grown its technology and manufacturing capability from ICE (and small PHEV volumes) to ICE, EV, and large PHEV volumes. EV production is a completely new way of building. Ford now has that capability in house. It should be able to better adjust production between all three streams, depending on market demand. EV and PHEV is complementary battery-engine technology, so it should be able to swing its design and manufacture between either as the market demands.

For example, all that is required is a war to break out in the Middle East resulting in fuel shortages, and customers will be clamouring for EV again. While there isn't much demand for it now, the F150 Lightning may be a very astute each-way bet for Ford in its home market.

The final point to all of those budding Nostradamus' out there ... customers are very fickle creatures. It is hard enough to predict the number of people who will use the local Maccas for dinner tonight, let alone predict the number of EV to be sold in five years time.

I think Ford have done well here.
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Old 29-05-2024, 01:18 AM   #20
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

EVs were, and still are, very much "on trend."

People, and governments, wanting to make a statement, were eager to buy and show-off their Teslas. Teslas became the new Prius.

Ford was always going to face a challenge. They don't have the ecosnob factor of the Tesla, nor the "sure I'm a rich ****er, but I'm also saving the planet" factor of the expensive Europeans. Ford has to do, what it has always done, sell mass-market cars that offer decent value for money.

And if that market, the majority of owners just aren't prepared to pay an unrealistic premium for an Electric Car.

I'm been looking seriously at getting either an EV or a PHEV, purely for the tax advantages. But the absurd prices don't make sense.
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Old 29-05-2024, 05:51 PM   #21
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

If Ford were in such a position the price chart would begin to reflect that, and begin to uptrend above it's 30 week moving average. Not seeing this at present although Toyota is!

Hedgie Patrick Boyle has an overview of current EV situation:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hNfquYHvaCk
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Old 29-05-2024, 06:57 PM   #22
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

Quote:
Originally Posted by Syndrome View Post
How many EV models have Ford released so far?

EDIT. I found 5:

Mustang Mach-E
F-150 Lightning
E-Transit
All electric Explorer
All electric Tourneo
The european ones that are using VW architecture as well.

- Explorer
- transit
- Puma is on the way
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Old 29-05-2024, 07:27 PM   #23
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

Explorer is Vw
Puma and Transit are stand alone Ford design Bev s
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Old 29-05-2024, 07:34 PM   #24
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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Explorer is Vw
So no money spent by FORD?
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Old 30-05-2024, 06:12 AM   #25
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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Explorer is Vw
Puma and Transit are stand alone Ford design Bev s
This Euro development is so weird, it started out as one thing and became another..

Explorer BEV started out as a VW MEB based built in a Ford plant with its own top hat.
Then a funny thing happened, Ford changed the design to supply its own battery and control system.
Rumour is that the motors and drives will also be coming from Ford supply side, so all the money that VW
thought it was going to make on parts supply has evaporated.

Under Jim Hackett, Ford thought that major components and battery supply from VW would save Ford
a lot of money by not developing it’s own supplier base, fast forward five years and every thing changes.
So it’s reasonable to wonder how much more change will happen in the next five years….

Living on the other side of the earth has its advantages, a lot of the tried and failed come and go
without us seeing them and hopefully by the time well developed designs arrive, I’ll be too old to give a hoot…
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Old 30-05-2024, 09:04 AM   #26
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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Originally Posted by roKWiz View Post
Funny how back in the day Aussies were convinced by trend, peer, govco, we didn't need a local sedans and wagons, yet companies like Audi, BMW, Merc seem to sell these in volume.

Sad how FORD really has lost the plot.

Not everyone wants a SUV.

btw I like the new Audi wagon ad on telly.
What's telly?

Yes I know you're referring to TV but the only time I watch TV is for MAFS so that form of advertising doesn't reach me or most Gen Y/Gen Z.

The only way you'll reach me through advertising is through social media as that's the only place I see advertising.

Mind you we're probably not the market for Audi.

Then the only advertising I see is for female activewear because I follow like 500 female fitness influencers and swimwear models
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Old 30-05-2024, 09:38 AM   #27
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

Just slightly off topic
Franco s post raises a question
If Gen y and Gen z don’t watch tv - then who are the future tv buyers
Will tv become the new Kodak?
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Old 30-05-2024, 10:53 AM   #28
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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Originally Posted by kevino View Post
Just slightly off topic
Franco s post raises a question
If Gen y and Gen z don’t watch tv - then who are the future tv buyers
Will tv become the new Kodak?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Franco Cozzo
It's not the power and torque figures of the PX that's the problem, it's how it drives.

It's nothing until 1800 RPM

Then nothing over 1800 RPM

The way I manage it is get on the brakes and stall it up if I need it to react to throttle inputs, like turning right across Sydney Rd.

It's absolutely shitful to drive, the calibration on it is woeful, maybe it's an emissions thing to get it to pass testing because it's ridiculous.

We're either at or exceeding GVM in it, so it's heavily loaded up with a service body + equipment.
Maybe not for free to air but I stream everything through my TV...I actually forgot how many subscriptions my daughter signed us up to until passwords had to be changed...so many friends sharing logins....didn't go well when I found out...Stan, Disney, Paramount, Binge, Amazon, Spotify, etc....and to my disgust she has an add-free YouTube sub and I don't...
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Old 01-06-2024, 09:56 AM   #29
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

EV Mustang prices slashed by up to $15k - in line with crashing EV market:

https://www.news.com.au/technology/m...ca208ef4a35135
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Old 01-06-2024, 09:59 AM   #30
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Default Re: Ford EV business loses $1.3 billion in Q1 2024

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EV Mustang prices slashed by up to $15k - in line with crashing EV market:

https://www.news.com.au/technology/m...ca208ef4a35135
Transit reduced by $15k. Not Mach E. That was $8K
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